Risk of the consolidation of a strong upward trend on the EUA market, with simultaneous disproportionate increases in electricity prices
Risk category: transition
Perspective: short, medium and long term
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High prices of CO2 emission allowances may result in a low or negative value of the clean dark spread (CDS) |
Decline in or loss of profitability in electricity generation |
- Substitution of coal with low-carbon fuels, including a greater share of biomass co-firing.
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Risks related to extreme weather phenomena
Risk category: physical
Perspective: short, medium and long term
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An increased frequency of extreme weather phenomena (droughts, floods affecting the water level on the Vistula River, heavy snowfalls, frosts, icing, hurricanes) may disrupt energy generation |
Interruption of business continuity, loss of revenue and significant additional costs |
- Vistula River water level monitoring system.
- Annual assessment of the technical condition of power plant facilities.
- Continuous supervision of staff over the operation of the power plant.
- Flood protection system in the event of an increase in the water level on the Vistula River (stoplogs).
- Ongoing supervision of devices and optimal overhaul management.
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Risk of construction disasters in hydro power plants
Risk category: physical
Perspective: medium to long term
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Factors such as torrential rains may increase the adverse impact of water on hydrotechnical facilities |
Partial or complete damage to hydrotechnical equipment |
- Inspections of the technical condition and safety of buildings in accordance with legal requirements.
- Execution of the required renovation and capital expenditure tasks to ensure that hydrotechnical equipment is kept in at least good technical condition.
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Risk of construction disasters on wind farms
Risk category: physical
Perspective: medium to long term
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Extreme weather phenomena, such as strong winds, hurricanes and tornadoes, may pose a threat to selected elements of farm infrastructure |
Partial or complete damage to generation facilities |
- Inspections of the technical condition and safety of buildings in accordance with legal requirements.
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Risk of construction disasters in cogeneration plants
Risk category: physical
Perspective: medium to long term
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Changing weather conditions throughout the year necessitate the transport of fuel on belt conveyors in cogeneration plants in ‘covered’ technological facilities (tunnels, galleries, etc.), thereby increasing the risk of an explosion of coal dust or biomass |
Partial or complete damage to generation facilities |
- . Inspections of the technical condition and safety of buildings in accordance with legal requirements.2. Execution of required maintenance, repairs and capital expenditure tasks to ensure that facilities are kept in at least good technical condition.
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Risk related to the uncertainty of the legislative environment
Risk category: transition
Perspective: medium to long term
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Amendments to EU or national regulations may result in the non-recognition of biomass as a zero-emission energy source |
Loss of revenue or increased costs related to changing the company’s business context |
- Monitoring and participation in legislative work.
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Risk of a decline in sales of heat
Risk category: physical
Perspective: short, medium and long term
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The trend of an increase in average temperatures during the heating season may lead to a significant decline in demand for heat |
Decline in revenue from sales of heat |
- Diversification of revenue sources through the development of cogeneration.
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Risk of an increase in environmental fees, in particular, in the cost of CO2 emission allowances
Risk category: transition
Perspective: short term
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Due to ongoing climate change, environmental regulations are tightened, resulting in increased fees and penalties |
Increase in environmental fees resulting in higher costs of generation processes |
- Ongoing monitoring of regulations.
- Ongoing monitoring of the validity of decisions held, thereby enabling an early preparation of requests for changes.
- Ongoing supervision over the manner of implementation and compliance with the conditions specified in the decisions held.
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Risk of suspension of electricity/heat generation as a result of technological misalignment with the requirements of environmental protection regulations
Risk category: transition
Perspective: short term
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Need to adapt generation units to the applicable legal requirements, including the IED |
Suspension of electricity/heat generation as a result of technological misalignment |
- Regular upgrades of and investments in:
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- units for generation of energy from renewable sources,
- heat accumulation systems,
- flue gas heat recovery units,
- flue gas desulfurization units,
- boilers.
- Upgrade of transmission infrastructure and heating nodes, gradual extension of the extent of application of telemetric systems.
- Use of proper cooling systems in electricity and heat generation.
- Taking care of the proper technical condition of equipment using fluorinated gases.
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Risk of non-continuity of fuel supplies
Risk category: transition
Perspective: short, medium and long term
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- Natural disasters such as hurricanes, floods, droughts or freezing conditions may result in a limited availability or lack of biomass
- Natural disasters in the mining sector or in the supply process may cause a limited availability or lack of coal
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Interruption or curtailment of the continuity of fuel supplies and the related loss of revenue |
- Optimization of fuel supplies.
- Diversification of the fuel portfolio.
- Emergency fuel purchases.
- Gradual shift of all or part of the fuel shipment process to the supplier.
- Performance monitoring with deviation analysis and update of plans for the performance of contracts for the supply of generation fuels and logistics services.
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Risk of an increase in biogas production expenses
Risk category: physical
Perspective: medium term
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A hydrological drought may potentially affect the availability and prices of corn silage, which is the key input substrate in biogas production |
Deterioration of the economic profitability of biogas production from plant-based substrates |
- Adoption of and early preparation for a comprehensive substrate procurement action.
- Ongoing monitoring of the substrate market.
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Risk of an increase in the cost of raising capital and/or property insurance
Risk category: transition
Perspective: short, medium and long term
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Global climate crisis making it increasingly difficult for fossil fuel-based businesses to access finance, insurance undertakings treating the coal-fired energy sector as a high-risk industry |
Increase in operating costs associated with higher cost of raising capital and/or property insurance |
- Use of the Group’s transformation strategy in consultations with the reinsurance market.
- Search for new methods of securing assets.
- Spin-off of coal-fired generation assets from the ENEA Group’s structures
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Risk related to activities pursued by environmental organizations
Risk category: transition
Perspective: short, medium and long term
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Activities of environmental organizations conducting aggressive campaigns against power plants by:
- appealing against and demanding the cancellation of integrated permits or environmental decisions held by power plants,
- referring to the public interest and joining proceedings aimed at amending integrated permits, thereby delaying or preventing the issue of favorable decisions
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Operational slowdown or shutdown of power plants due to difficulties in obtaining or maintaining decisions or permits related to environmental protection |
1. Cooperation with leading law firms.
2. Cooperation with environmental organizations.
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Risk of losses in capacity caused by hydrologic conditions
Risk category: physical
Perspective: short, medium to long term
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The country’s unfavorable hydrological or meteorological translates into a deterioration in the hydrological conditions for the operation of power plants |
Low surface levels and high water temperatures of the Vistula River may cause power losses due to problems with the provision of the necessary amount of cooling water (resulting from the need to maintain its uninterrupted flow) or abiding by the permissible temperature of the discharged cooling water |
1. Execution of a project aimed at modernization of the cooling water system in a power plant. |