assets were tested in four CGUs (CGU Elektrownie Systemowe Kozienice, CGU Elektrownie Systemowe Połaniec, CGU Zielony Blok and CGU Białystok),
- the main price paths, based on forecasts prepared by ENEA Trading (a company operating as ENEA Group’s competence centre for wholesale trade of electricity, emission allowances and fuels), taking into account the specific nature of products and knowledge about existing contracts:
- wholesale „base” prices for electricity: for 2022-2047: prices are expected to grow from 350.98 PLN/MWh in 2022 to 406.36 PLN/MWh in 2026, followed by a gradual decline at an average of 0.5% in the period 2027-2047 [fixed prices 2021],
- CO2 emission allowances: the forecast expects an increase in the prices of CO2 allowances by an average of 6.3%, from 50.93 EUR/t win 2022 to 2026. Between 2026 and 2040, prices are expected to grow further, by approx. 1.5%. From 2041, further growth at approx. 0.1% is expected [fixed prices 2021],
- coal: the prices of coal are expected to decline by an average of 0.8%, from 11.41 PLN/GJ until 2047 [fixed prices 2021],
- biomass: the average price of biomass for the Group is expected to raise from 24.75 PLN/GJ in 2022 to 29.43 PLN/GJ in 2023. A 6.5% decline is forecast for 2024, in comparison with 2023, followed by 0.7% average annual growth until 2044 [fixed prices 2021],
- heating: an average annual increase of approx. 1.7% is forecast until 2044, from the average price level of 72.8 PLN/GJ in 2022 [fixed prices 2021],
- natural gas: prices are expected to decline until 2023, by approx. 3.9%, from 108.6 PLN/MWh in 2022, followed by price growth until 2047 at an average annual rate of approx. 0.7% [fixed prices 2021],
- quantity of CO2 emission allowances received for free for 2021-2025 in accordance with a derogation application (pursuant to art. 10c sec. 5 Directive 2003/87/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council),
- revenue related to maintaining generation capacities from 2021 pursuant to the Act on the Capacity Market, based on previously won auctions,
- inflation, taking into account the inflation target, at a maximum level of 2.5%,
- nominal discount rate – 5.41% [discount rate before tax is 6.21%]. The Group used a risk premium for the following CGUs:
- CGU Zielony Blok – 2%. Discount rate taking into account company-specific risk premium was 6.06% [discount rate taking into account company-specific risk premium before tax is 6.86%],
- CGU Elektrownie Systemowe Kozienice and Elektrownie Systemowe Połaniec – 4%. Discount rate taking into account company-specific risk premium was 6.71% [discount rate taking into account company-specific risk premium before tax is 7.51%],
- CGU Białystok – 2.5%. Discount rate taking into account company-specific risk premium was 6.22% [discount rate taking into account company-specific risk premium before tax is 7.02%],
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growth rate in residual period – 0%.